South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-04-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eb5a2b83d578d387a68e89f119c865275d82dcbc558977f8de99bb035d3bf70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 39c | 4,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 30c | 1,675$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 1,611$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.32 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 71c | 1,159$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.79 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 38c | 999.94$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 38c | 999.92$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.97 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 913.98$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.86 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 711.83$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.29 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 62c | 698.54$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.38 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 40c | 600$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 38c | 566.88$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.46 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 61c | 479.39$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.29 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 62c | 476.61$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.46 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 39c | 458.44$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.79 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 59c | 443.45$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.81 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 41c | 417$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 325.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 65c | 309.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.4 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 33c | 281$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 62c | 273.66$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.63 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed No | 71c | 271.84$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 62c | 265.38$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 62c | 255.75$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 62c | 250.08$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.15 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 62c | 247.2$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.84 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 62c | 243.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 60c | 210$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 60c | 168.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 35c | 101.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 35c | 93.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked No | 61c | 89.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 81.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 62c | 80.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8f…c01dbacked Yes | 34c | 74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 34c | 73.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 29c | 66.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc9…0c47backed No | 62c | 54.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 35c | 50.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 61c | 49.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 60c | 45.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Yes | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…7647backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 66c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 61c | 37.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 31c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 35c | 33.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 62c | 31.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 62c | 31.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 62c | 31.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 35c | 30.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 61c | 25.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 60c | 23.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 60c | 23.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 60c | 23.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 60c | 23.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 60c | 23.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 60c | 23.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 60c | 23.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 60c | 23.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…8d7ebacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 62c | 19.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 61c | 16.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-04-10?this page
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-04-10?Yes won
- Will Club Puebla vs. Club León FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.