Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Odense BK vs. FC Fredericia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa46a54808b441f24f4ab37c32dfc81aa9d882126309a6ea69a548ea9fd85bd26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 2,811$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.46 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 36c | 2,463$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.94 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,225$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.62 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 468.12$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.78 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked No | 71c | 392$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 44c | 384.64$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.87 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfc…7f6bbacked Yes | 9c | 208.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 79c | 206.06$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 55c | 196$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 168.78$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.09 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 69c | 133.83$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Yes | 50c | 122$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 95.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 91.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 42c | 84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 44c | 83.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Yes | 19c | 68.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…37bcbacked No | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 63.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 45c | 50.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 76c | 39.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 77c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 77c | 37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 57c | 30.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 30.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 79c | 22.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 80c | 22.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Yes | 58c | 20.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked No | 66c | 18.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 59c | 18.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…f3babacked No | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 76c | 15.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Odense BK vs. FC Fredericia end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-04-06?No won
- Will Odense BK win on 2026-04-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.