South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f5191435908c5fdb7974279eeef2b7eafa2d223dcb6b516fae97ab2c3d504d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdefe…5432backed No | 68c | 4,094$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 1,162$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.27 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 916.66$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.66 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 25c | 800$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.55 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 790.87$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 15c | 660$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 627.44$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.29 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 69c | 612.57$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.9 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 430.3$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.24 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 418.65$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes | 19c | 238$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 24c | 208.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 32c | 127.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 19c | 123$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 33c | 100.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 17c | 97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 21c | 90.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 67c | 79.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 75.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…d166backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 75cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 31c | 45.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked No | 74c | 26.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-02-07?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-02-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.