South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37a21e41846cc6f6ba9980380c58b71344cb538e9569084ef1ccf10ee580835c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdefe…5432backed No | 68c | 1,560$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 65c | 1,162$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.32 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 67c | 900$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 871.97$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 35c | 856.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.43 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 74c | 811.72$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.69 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 26c | 700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 65c | 646.52$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.24 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 37c | 539.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 267.8$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.37 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 244.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 79c | 222$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked No | 42c | 180.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 70c | 121.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 29c | 92.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 17c | 92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 35c | 78.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 27c | 73.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked No | 39c | 73.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 52c | 66.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 72c | 54.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…3d47backed Yes | 80c | 49.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 61c | 40.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 35c | 33.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb4…1262backed Yes | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 34c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 44c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 21.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…d166backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 75cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 63c | 18.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked No | 67c | 14.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-02-07?No won
- Will Racing Club vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.