TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,402 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes54c11,111$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,111.066230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes59c6,000$3,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,488.689660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c5,050$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.494,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes49c4,026$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040.299949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6501464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No36c2,788$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.4675542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes46c2,175$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.59053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c1,818$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.766,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes60c1,120$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.092,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes52c1,063$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.012,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes54c938.76$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43384549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes65c916.85$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.691,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No43c892.78$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.653344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No28c795.95$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.391,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No17c754.03$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1145142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No55c733.97$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.9216757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No45c706.73$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.031566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No56c690.58$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.813748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes53c672.83$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.2775850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No55c670.17$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.4723556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No48c662.5$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3184856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No45c636.51$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.021,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No14c561.97$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9712136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No56c548.6$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.6730057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010950.5%55 W · 54 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No47c532$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.045851.7%30 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No54c529.77$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.499752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No45c500.11$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22553134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No48c499.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9912549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes55c454.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7312139.7%48 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed No44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007356.2%41 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes68c444.1$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.12462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No56c428.61$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.029058.9%53 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c425.13$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.972,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19625648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No45c356.88$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1157150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No56c337.86$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.510655.7%59 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes55c321.41$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.6558446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No49c303$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4796443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf9…5f13backed No48c255.15$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.47875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No55c251.82$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.510547.6%50 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No56c248.57$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.511055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc15…ae53backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa81d…7447backed Yes68c221.13$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.161050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes46c202.43$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.314934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x91ca…2ab7backed Yes45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes56c198.57$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3721250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa912…297fbacked No44c198.57$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.372657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No47c196.45$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.231,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf40b…3914backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4122242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes55c168.39$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7880853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed No50c144$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+94.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked No46c138.87$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.882450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1c…53f2backed No45c137.6$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.927247.2%34 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Yes46c134.67$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.724022.5%9 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14c0…e478backed No45c123.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.722369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8207…7edbbacked Yes56c116.07$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.078338.6%32 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Yes57c114.63$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.291833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-38.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No19c107.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes56c106.25$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7561143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No47c100.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.241,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4829158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ccb…604ebacked No56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7213635.3%48 W · 88 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Yes50c69.28$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.718342.2%35 W · 48 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No56c68.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.528859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes58c60.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.12850%14 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+67.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No46c59.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.36966.7%46 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes60c59.25$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.671,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No40c59.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5241956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed No56c58.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.712360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbcb…575ebacked Yes56c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.76714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-74.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Yes53c51.21$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.181533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-50.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No43c51.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9910252%53 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe735…4198backed No45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No24c48.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4677236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes56c46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.261,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffbb…7a04backed Yes76c45.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.021442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No47c44.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2113347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.444035%14 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013746%63 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Yes52c40.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.382748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No50c39.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.621,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…bc74backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes61c36.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.096040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010049%49 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.095350.9%27 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511250.9%57 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Yes77c32.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6211164%71 W · 40 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510168.3%69 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes56c28.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.575438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd42…9588backed Yes46c28.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.261553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x557d…72f3backed Yes46c28.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.171353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes51c27.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4524349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No48c26.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.569331.2%29 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No47c25.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2241040.5%166 W · 244 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d90…3bbdbacked No45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.682560%15 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x706c…6353backed No48c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.081030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed No55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.