Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on May 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7894604ce8657f7d5ad1588db451769d3bdd333cc5ddd96aeffd9f8c252f55ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4e9…0208backed No | 64c | 589.85$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.63 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 59c | 431.54$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.48 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 39c | 339.59$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.83 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…20febacked No | 5c | 314.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 151 | 6.6%10 W · 141 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a2…c0c5backed Yes | 65c | 309.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 44c | 283$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.59 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 43c | 212.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…9578backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked Yes | 41c | 199.87$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.92 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 40c | 196.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7af…0158backed Yes | 47c | 189.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 38c | 186.27$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 58c | 183.39$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 62c | 159.74$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…03ffbacked Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 49 | 91.8%45 W · 4 L | +18.2wins | +0.37per pick | 55cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 77+0.25 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…f9debacked Yes | 37c | 150$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 59 | 93.2%55 W · 4 L | +21.7wins | +0.37per pick | 56cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 79+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x62b3…4849backed Yes | 42c | 149.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed Yes | 45c | 149.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 54c | 148.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 307 | 22.1%68 W · 239 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 37c | 146.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 57c | 143.05$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed Yes | 48c | 139.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 42c | 138.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 52c | 126$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed Yes | 55c | 123.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…43a8backed Yes | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 43c | 99.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fd…54c7backed Yes | 44c | 99.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 97.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x376a…d270backed Yes | 80c | 95.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 48 | 89.6%43 W · 5 L | +14.9wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +78%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 53c | 91.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 56c | 86.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 29c | 82.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 36c | 81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…368ebacked No | 73c | 75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 52c | 74.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 50c | 73.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 59c | 72.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 40c | 71.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 61c | 70.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d21…b569backed No | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 61c | 67.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 60c | 66.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 60c | 65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…6e4ebacked Yes | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked No | 55c | 62.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 189 | 48.1%91 W · 98 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 59c | 60.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 50c | 60.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…3edabacked No | 59c | 59.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 58c | 59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed Yes | 51c | 58.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…401ebacked Yes | 52c | 58.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 53c | 56.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…80cdbacked Yes | 55c | 54.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 41c | 52.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 40c | 52.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 46c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 42c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…5bc2backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…1a9bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e18…dd00backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…59e9backed Yes | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 170 | 33.5%57 W · 113 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 43c | 49.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 43c | 49.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 38c | 46.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 41c | 45.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 62c | 43.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 61c | 42.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd802…d766backed No | 59c | 42.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 306 | 64.1%196 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 54c | 41.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x337d…6c88backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…a1adbacked No | 43c | 38.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…ae83backed Yes | 44c | 36.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb198…6291backed Yes | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…080abacked No | 58c | 34.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…620cbacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…6957backed Yes | 41c | 33.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…8ecebacked Yes | 44c | 33.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 54c | 33.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 42c | 32.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c77…ff72backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…e535backed Yes | 70c | 31.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 51c | 31.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb10…0e28backed Yes | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7135…212fbacked No | 50c | 28.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f5…ee83backed Yes | 52c | 28.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 55c | 27.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 343 | 69.4%238 W · 105 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf136…f66abacked Yes | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 53c | 25.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 59c | 25.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on May 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on May 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.