Music · resolved market
Will Bad Bunny win 3 Grammys?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0af6d7267aa49fcae60cb2381c29b41d6e3dcd05c0628f88a000f7be20c820fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed Yes | 24c | 845$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 17c | 836$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…5d9ebacked Yes | 17c | 449$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…d40bbacked No | 76c | 426$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked No | 76c | 384$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed No | 76c | 282$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…c213backed Yes | 24c | 227$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…e61bbacked Yes | 17c | 201$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +259.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…4d9abacked Yes | 17c | 172$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be0…bee3backed Yes | 16c | 153.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +206.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 31c | 92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes | 17c | 83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 19c | 79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa5…3f52backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…4dd1backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…784ebacked No | 80c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 79cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bad Bunny win 3 Grammys?this page
- Will Bad Bunny win 0 Grammys?No won
- Will Bad Bunny win 1 Grammy?No won
- Will Bad Bunny win 2 Grammys?No won
- Will Bad Bunny win 4 Grammys?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.