Premier League · resolved market
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd112f4aaa44341f3d7ff5d0004b0032bf4ed10d0c3fe5f3e4ccf6a15377c2cc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 2,812$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.41 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 2,244$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.74 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 53c | 1,750$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.61 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 27c | 1,250$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.59 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 46c | 947.82$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.82 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 9c | 947.22$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 15c | 887.44$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.89 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 46c | 632.61$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.61 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked No | 54c | 594$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.76 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 54c | 574.95$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.74 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 48c | 502$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.11 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed No | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 9c | 419.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…0209backed Yes | 77c | 388.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 365.29$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.03 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 54c | 326.46$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.29 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 21c | 299.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 61c | 264.81$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 264.11$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.21 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 53c | 241.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes | 46c | 235$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Yes | 70c | 220$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 68c | 215$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 22c | 188.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…878cbacked Yes | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 47c | 117.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 60c | 106.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 47c | 82.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 72c | 74.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 75c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…8719backed Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 52.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 36c | 44.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 32.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 30.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb969…089ebacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 54c | 27.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 53c | 27.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 66c | 26.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked No | 55c | 20.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed No | 57c | 19.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…1d66backed Yes | 79c | 14.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.