Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85ec581918aabf553c68d215a245c30bceaead360f6588902619369a7e77e487
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 39c | 5,217$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.68 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…74fcbacked No | 1c | 4,775$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 58c | 3,940$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.8 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 1,784$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.1 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 42c | 899.99$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 708.78$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.84 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 38c | 599.98$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 56c | 525.88$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.54 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…878cbacked Yes | 62c | 243.55$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes | 56c | 178.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…c018backed Yes | 59c | 165.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…24b0backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 40c | 147$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 44c | 140.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 60c | 140$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…615dbacked Yes | 80c | 112.28$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked No | 39c | 103.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 39c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 42c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 59c | 72.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed No | 39c | 69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 38c | 66.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Yes | 53c | 54.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 62c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 48.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 47c | 42.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed Yes | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 60c | 31.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…4034backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 60c | 29.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Yes | 62c | 28.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…5b3ebacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 45c | 23.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…7b07backed Yes | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Yes | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.