Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xece766a3817b0aaf954cb825a053175eeb063a750edaa0114a0f94bc96b0743e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 74c | 3,179$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.65 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 26c | 3,068$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.68 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 2,655$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 72c | 2,577$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.62 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 26c | 1,203$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.33 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 75c | 559.84$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Yes | 74c | 411$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.86 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Yes | 69c | 314$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 26c | 299.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…4d9abacked No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 26c | 205.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 64c | 153$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 74c | 151.34$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…878cbacked Yes | 69c | 115.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 28c | 106.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 26c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 26c | 90.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 13c | 86.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked No | 37c | 81.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…565cbacked Yes | 65c | 75.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 28c | 70.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 25c | 65.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…b2ccbacked Yes | 67c | 48.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 75c | 42.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Yes | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f1…7be0backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…68ffbacked Yes | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will Celtic FC vs. Falkirk FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.