CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs BESTIA (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d98c754994fa5dff26c04ece17375093ff48ffde4b3a61d129a76f471755044
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof MANA eSports, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports | 58c | 2,218$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.82 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed BESTIA | 52c | 1,691$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.16 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BESTIA | 50c | 1,615$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.62 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed MANA eSports | 37c | 1,303$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.81 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed BESTIA | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MANA eSports | 39c | 960.2$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.44 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed BESTIA | 63c | 930.89$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.46 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed BESTIA | 38c | 808.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.34 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MANA eSports | 34c | 686.3$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.45 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed MANA eSports | 57c | 397.21$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.03 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…2230backed MANA eSports | 76c | 355.99$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked MANA eSports | 37c | 337.33$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.99 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed MANA eSports | 37c | 332.26$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MANA eSports | 31c | 312.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.67 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed MANA eSports | 38c | 264.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.3 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed BESTIA | 49c | 254.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed BESTIA | 62c | 253.47$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.15 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed BESTIA | 73c | 253.37$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.96 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BESTIA | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed BESTIA | 42c | 237.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked BESTIA | 63c | 235$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.05 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed MANA eSports | 38c | 230$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked MANA eSports | 70c | 215.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked MANA eSports | 36c | 214.13$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.59 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed BESTIA | 50c | 207.81$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MANA eSports | 35c | 200.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.62 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed BESTIA | 62c | 190.32$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked BESTIA | 69c | 185$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.75 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked BESTIA | 69c | 181$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.16 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BESTIA | 55c | 179.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed BESTIA | 40c | 172$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…e0f9backed BESTIA | 63c | 162.78$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked MANA eSports | 41c | 159$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…2642backed BESTIA | 63c | 158.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…5aacbacked BESTIA | 34c | 154.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -11.7wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed MANA eSports | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed BESTIA | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed MANA eSports | 43c | 148.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked BESTIA | 66c | 148.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed MANA eSports | 41c | 147.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed MANA eSports | 37c | 138.53$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.27 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…1afdbacked BESTIA | 63c | 138.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed BESTIA | 62c | 137.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed BESTIA | 54c | 128$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed BESTIA | 46c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked BESTIA | 16c | 109.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed MANA eSports | 47c | 106$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MANA eSports | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked BESTIA | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed MANA eSports | 36c | 85.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde92…8159backed MANA eSports | 61c | 82.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed BESTIA | 39c | 82.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked MANA eSports | 41c | 81.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed BESTIA | 67c | 81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked BESTIA | 61c | 78.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…6633backed MANA eSports | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked MANA eSports | 76c | 63.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 87 | 70.1%61 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MANA eSports | 38c | 62.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…b550backed MANA eSports | 55c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed BESTIA | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed MANA eSports | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefd…cbc2backed MANA eSports | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked BESTIA | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed BESTIA | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BESTIA | 61c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed BESTIA | 63c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed BESTIA | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed MANA eSports | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf601…57a2backed MANA eSports | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…567abacked MANA eSports | 72c | 37.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked BESTIA | 48c | 35.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed BESTIA | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BESTIA | 62c | 27.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…e300backed MANA eSports | 38c | 26.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe19c…0b8dbacked MANA eSports | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6984…c2c1backed MANA eSports | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8f…c01dbacked BESTIA | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs BESTIA (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs BESTIA - Map 1 WinnerMANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs BESTIA - Map 2 WinnerMANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.