CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05b2b02e4e94e05aa401a16a4481aef77452ed213d03547487cf099abd96e19f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof MANA eSports, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports | 52c | 1,352$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.37 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed BESTIA | 52c | 964.34$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.66 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BESTIA | 51c | 921.96$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.18 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked MANA eSports | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked BESTIA | 59c | 348.34$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.52 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked BESTIA | 64c | 124.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed MANA eSports | 36c | 124.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…e0f9backed MANA eSports | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…fb0fbacked MANA eSports | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BESTIA | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf601…57a2backed BESTIA | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs BESTIA (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsMANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs BESTIA - Map 1 WinnerMANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.