CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs ARCRED (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15976ea070f1bca08949870c1e870c15af443a9eef08326688c08d9c2005dc8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Alliance, ARCRED
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked ARCRED | 32c | 50,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Alliance | 68c | 41,998$28,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,439.42 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked Alliance | 70c | 26,072$18,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,829.64 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf8…43c5backed ARCRED | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ARCRED | 31c | 9,174$2,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.73 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1f26backed ARCRED | 24c | 4,140$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed ARCRED | 29c | 4,055$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.86 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed ARCRED | 29c | 3,909$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.73 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alliance | 71c | 3,777$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.87 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ARCRED | 29c | 2,386$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.33 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…75d7backed Alliance | 75c | 2,173$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.31 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed ARCRED | 30c | 1,335$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ARCRED | 30c | 1,110$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.79 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ba…e6b7backed Alliance | 68c | 1,094$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Alliance | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked ARCRED | 23c | 945$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.95 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Alliance | 78c | 913.7$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.41 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ARCRED | 28c | 886.86$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.83 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ARCRED | 30c | 829.13$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.48 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Alliance | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Alliance | 69c | 637.53$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.63 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed ARCRED | 30c | 621.45$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.97 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…1189backed ARCRED | 29c | 589$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed ARCRED | 29c | 586.21$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed ARCRED | 23c | 545.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Alliance | 73c | 543.27$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.68 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ARCRED | 31c | 540.51$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.96 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked ARCRED | 29c | 536.95$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed ARCRED | 29c | 511.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked ARCRED | 32c | 497.45$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.88 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Alliance | 72c | 492$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.64 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed ARCRED | 29c | 487.77$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.45 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance | 78c | 454.22$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ARCRED | 22c | 439.4$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Alliance | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked Alliance | 76c | 400$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance | 70c | 397.63$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.63 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Alliance | 72c | 345$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 296 | 47.6%141 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed Alliance | 71c | 344$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed ARCRED | 31c | 324.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked ARCRED | 23c | 320.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ARCRED | 8c | 319.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed ARCRED | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…06e9backed Alliance | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe62c…d9a6backed Alliance | 76c | 294.38$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed Alliance | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed ARCRED | 28c | 281.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.74 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Alliance | 71c | 276.57$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed ARCRED | 24c | 275$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed ARCRED | 18c | 272.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Alliance | 68c | 264.13$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed ARCRED | 29c | 261.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…deffbacked Alliance | 72c | 254.31$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Alliance | 68c | 238$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Alliance | 72c | 232$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ARCRED | 8c | 218.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…fc19backed Alliance | 65c | 216.5$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 155 | 61.3%95 W · 60 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Alliance | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e19…9bdfbacked ARCRED | 29c | 210.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed ARCRED | 9c | 208.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed ARCRED | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed ARCRED | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked ARCRED | 29c | 192.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…9594backed Alliance | 69c | 187.7$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…e0f9backed Alliance | 78c | 167.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked ARCRED | 20c | 167$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Alliance | 73c | 166$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alliance | 79c | 156.3$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Alliance | 64c | 155.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6a…8ec7backed Alliance | 69c | 144.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Alliance | 69c | 143.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.5wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed Alliance | 64c | 140.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Alliance | 71c | 140.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…444ebacked Alliance | 72c | 139.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked ARCRED | 15c | 136.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ARCRED | 40c | 131.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked ARCRED | 24c | 129.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Alliance | 78c | 128.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…d52fbacked Alliance | 71c | 112.93$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Alliance | 70c | 111$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…42b8backed Alliance | 71c | 104.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed ARCRED | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Alliance | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed ARCRED | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Alliance | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b07…3978backed ARCRED | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…fd30backed ARCRED | 31c | 97.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Alliance | 76c | 96.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 217 | 23%50 W · 167 L | -35.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked ARCRED | 29c | 95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed ARCRED | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed ARCRED | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272a…88cfbacked ARCRED | 30c | 82.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…6ce1backed ARCRED | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Alliance | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Alliance | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…fa01backed Alliance | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ARCRED | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Alliance | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed ARCRED | 15c | 68.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Alliance | 66c | 68.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs ARCRED (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs ARCRED - Map 1 WinnerAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs ARCRED - Map 2 WinnerARCRED won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.