Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3617c16ca0ea6c8cb93ba0e29da29f6d809efe3629abbfa085c67394b4010955
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 46c | 33,659$15,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,176.06 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 32,755$17,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,129.71 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Under | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.73 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 8,823$4,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,676.48 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 54c | 4,042$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.03 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 53c | 2,988$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.24 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 54c | 1,624$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.35 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 47c | 980.85$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.85 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Over | 47c | 532.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 53c | 492.51$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.14 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 13c | 380$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 47c | 212.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.39 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 56c | 198.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 47c | 168.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.35 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 21c | 138$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 18c | 135$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 14c | 130.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 54c | 89.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…1754backed Under | 57c | 89.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.9wins | -0.31per pick | 62cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 47c | 77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…e304backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…5ee5backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Over | 46c | 39.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 45c | 35.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc34…799dbacked Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 55c | 32.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725a…c06cbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.