Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e3ac398cca093b92d8a62ed660dce5ffc3d797290e7d0c3f53e14eb16b2ba66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Under | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 29c | 9,028$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,427.99 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 62c | 8,996$5,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,560.04 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 5,768$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.12 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 43c | 1,519$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.05 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 70c | 1,500$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 56c | 1,273$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.01 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 40c | 1,155$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.04 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 54c | 999$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.54 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Under | 3c | 977.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 75c | 555.77$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.72 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Under | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Over | 59c | 300$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 70c | 298$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.62 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 47c | 223.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.48 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Under | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +1,022.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Under | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 184.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.87 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Over | 45c | 172.16$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.07 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 40c | 152$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 26c | 125$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over | 26c | 119.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…08f1backed Over | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Under | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 23c | 106$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 80c | 100.79$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Over | 25c | 97.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Over | 40c | 95.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Over | 40c | 93.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 76c | 78.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 19c | 70$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Over | 40c | 59.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Over | 26c | 44.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 75c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Over | 40c | 35.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 69c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8fe3backed Over | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.