Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e0833cbada73c8ad3321f558ce765094b5f4767c9fcf87cce26444754be722e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa33…63e6backed Over | 72c | 2,888$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 73c | 2,800$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.93 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 2,623$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.52 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 27c | 1,125$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.75 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.11 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 802$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.04 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 29c | 704.23$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.23 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 72c | 324.26$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 29c | 257.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 70c | 174.84$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 27c | 76.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 28c | 72.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 30c | 62.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…caa6backed Under | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Under | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47f…c246backed Over | 72c | 37.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Over | 72c | 16.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…4a10backed Over | 72c | 16.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.