Tennis · resolved market
Tampere: Alex Barrena vs Niels Visker
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c958c312e10a484c29c07b55f85840aee9933c9818a721b2633d4a7bfec7c03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Niels Viskerof Alex Barrena, Niels Visker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex Barrena | 18c | 5,269$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.82 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Niels Visker | 61c | 1,867$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.37 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x162a…9418backed Alex Barrena | 43c | 1,289$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…d106backed Alex Barrena | 7c | 1,100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Niels Visker | 43c | 785.3$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.7 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Niels Visker | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…8d22backed Alex Barrena | 3c | 599.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Alex Barrena | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 685 | 57.8%396 W · 289 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…5f47backed Alex Barrena | 27c | 574$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Niels Visker | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Alex Barrena | 44c | 450.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 472 | 34.7%164 W · 308 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Alex Barrena | 5c | 427.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 174 | 23.6%41 W · 133 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…38d0backed Alex Barrena | 60c | 384.6$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.76 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Alex Barrena | 17c | 355.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alex Barrena | 61c | 346.84$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.9 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Alex Barrena | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Niels Visker | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…daa3backed Alex Barrena | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Niels Visker | 43c | 320.47$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.07 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Niels Visker | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Alex Barrena | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Niels Visker | 52c | 257.52$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.38 | 360 | 32.5%117 W · 243 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alex Barrena | 5c | 254.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Niels Visker | 31c | 242.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.6 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Alex Barrena | 28c | 216.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…2a8ebacked Alex Barrena | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Alex Barrena | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Alex Barrena | 68c | 200$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Niels Visker | 58c | 186.78$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Niels Visker | 68c | 186$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Alex Barrena | 17c | 179.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Alex Barrena | 70c | 177.54$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Niels Visker | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Alex Barrena | 20c | 155.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…ff48backed Niels Visker | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Niels Visker | 71c | 141.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 367 | 40.6%149 W · 218 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Niels Visker | 31c | 129.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.16 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Niels Visker | 79c | 125.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Niels Visker | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Niels Visker | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed Niels Visker | 77c | 104.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Niels Visker | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alex Barrena | 33c | 96.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Niels Visker | 64c | 90.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Alex Barrena | 48c | 86.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Niels Visker | 31c | 79.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Niels Visker | 68c | 75.16$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Alex Barrena | 54c | 73.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7475…fc7ebacked Alex Barrena | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Niels Visker | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c99…3b76backed Niels Visker | 32c | 63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Niels Visker | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Niels Visker | 32c | 58.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Alex Barrena | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Niels Visker | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,269 | 44.8%568 W · 701 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Niels Visker | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Niels Visker | 39c | 49.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Alex Barrena | 61c | 49.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 1,425 | 55.1%785 W · 640 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Alex Barrena | 53c | 41.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cd…226abacked Alex Barrena | 69c | 41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Niels Visker | 78c | 34.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aca…5d2bbacked Alex Barrena | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Niels Visker | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…7982backed Alex Barrena | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Alex Barrena | 69c | 29.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 819 | 56.9%466 W · 353 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Niels Visker | 79c | 25.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Alex Barrena | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Niels Visker | 69c | 22.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…682abacked Alex Barrena | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850f…b208backed Alex Barrena | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.