Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3874a4131e341759fce5eb2c9ff3f0125ff774e3881e4e78eaf19e5ed8644213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Goldof Team Liquid Brazil, Shopify Rebellion Gold
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Liquid Brazil | 50c | 2,851$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.42 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 52c | 2,835$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.04 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -14.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Liquid Brazil | 52c | 1,555$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.37 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Liquid Brazil | 2c | 917.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 65c | 887.86$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 48c | 619.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.71 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Team Liquid Brazil | 47c | 522.58$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Liquid Brazil | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Team Liquid Brazil | 50c | 439.43$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.41 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…3c94backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Liquid Brazil | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Team Liquid Brazil | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 52c | 193.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 46c | 161.32$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Team Liquid Brazil | 60c | 144.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Team Liquid Brazil | 41c | 131.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…b8ffbacked Team Liquid Brazil | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Team Liquid Brazil | 53c | 98.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed Team Liquid Brazil | 52c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…2fcbbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 72c | 69.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +153.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Team Liquid Brazil | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed Team Liquid Brazil | 58c | 52.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 52c | 28.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Team Liquid Brazil | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5)Team Liquid Brazil won
- Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold - Map 2 WinnerTeam Liquid Brazil won
- Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold - Map 3 WinnerTeam Liquid Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.