Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x018afb00007fa99b61663f12674ee93b4ba9e8a2b57d313234ed60c36b104493
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquid Brazilof Team Liquid Brazil, Shopify Rebellion Gold
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 70c | 4,070$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.14 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -14.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Liquid Brazil | 31c | 1,916$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.79 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Liquid Brazil | 33c | 1,642$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.6 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid Brazil | 44c | 1,569$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.57 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Team Liquid Brazil | 37c | 1,360$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.8 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Team Liquid Brazil | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Liquid Brazil | 16c | 735.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.71 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Team Liquid Brazil | 25c | 721.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.84 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Team Liquid Brazil | 37c | 617.7$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.29 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 77c | 578.69$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.45 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 56c | 574.68$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 54c | 552.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 65c | 500$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.6 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Team Liquid Brazil | 26c | 460.82$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.65 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…74c9backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 78c | 251.44$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Team Liquid Brazil | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Liquid Brazil | 37c | 210$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 31c | 102$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked Team Liquid Brazil | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Team Liquid Brazil | 23c | 73.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 58c | 69.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Team Liquid Brazil | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae8…5794backed Team Liquid Brazil | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…4514backed Team Liquid Brazil | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…e249backed Team Liquid Brazil | 29c | 39.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…4833backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 79c | 29.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 59c | 20.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…5ad4backed Team Liquid Brazil | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5)Team Liquid Brazil won
- Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold - Map 1 WinnerShopify Rebellion Gold won
- Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold - Map 3 WinnerTeam Liquid Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.