CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4461117b6887a7f415ddda551e0ae58de893319325df2e1238401caa159cfa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, Fake do Biru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf15…2aa9backed Fake do Biru | 15c | 2,107$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.89 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fake do Biru | 21c | 651$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Imperial | 78c | 438.31$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fake do Biru | 45c | 392.96$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.63 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial | 73c | 308.27$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Fake do Biru | 18c | 299.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810a…2b8ebacked Imperial | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Imperial | 76c | 272.26$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fake do Biru | 27c | 218.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Imperial | 55c | 187.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fake do Biru | 23c | 160.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Fake do Biru | 25c | 145.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fake do Biru | 14c | 143.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…7450backed Imperial | 70c | 139.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Imperial | 70c | 118.28$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fake do Biru | 35c | 105$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Fake do Biru | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Imperial | 78c | 94.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Imperial | 79c | 85.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fake do Biru | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Fake do Biru | 27c | 74.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Imperial | 76c | 71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Fake do Biru | 39c | 59.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Imperial | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Imperial | 72c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Fake do Biru | 37c | 53.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Imperial | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Fake do Biru | 33c | 48.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Imperial | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Fake do Biru | 31c | 36.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…e1f5backed Imperial | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Imperial | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764c…c68abacked Imperial | 80c | 22.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Imperial | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 89 | 88.8%79 W · 10 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 77cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x596b…e891backed Imperial | 80c | 13.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.78 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.