CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs TNC (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0aa2c8234eb00df3e38d3866acee6c33932aa30438f091dddcee4d69092edf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AaB Esportof AaB Esport, TNC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45d7…c9a5backed TNC | 0c | 11,936$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked AaB Esport | 56c | 403.45$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.96 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TNC | 52c | 367$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.42 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed AaB Esport | 54c | 184.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed TNC | 43c | 162$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed AaB Esport | 46c | 155.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…7450backed AaB Esport | 67c | 146.01$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TNC | 21c | 139.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TNC | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AaB Esport | 50c | 78.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed TNC | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…44efbacked AaB Esport | 42c | 62.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed AaB Esport | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed TNC | 58c | 55.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked TNC | 44c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…9e76backed AaB Esport | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked AaB Esport | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed AaB Esport | 46c | 42.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked TNC | 42c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed TNC | 52c | 35.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed AaB Esport | 51c | 33.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…681bbacked TNC | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed TNC | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked AaB Esport | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed TNC | 44c | 27.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc301…6760backed TNC | 49c | 26.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed AaB Esport | 67c | 20.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.