NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x031f95421175ef71a5807fb0f62c58a389f15a58a5d3f4d795d23ff156685d8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 48c | 16,455$7,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,886.35 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.99 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,652$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.5 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 48c | 3,269$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.51 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 48c | 3,147$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.56 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 2,281$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.56 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Over | 52c | 2,154$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.85 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 48c | 2,030$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.4 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 47c | 2,008$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.77 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 1,871$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.28 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 53c | 1,411$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.32 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 46c | 920.34$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.05 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 35c | 639.91$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.46 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 629.09$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.46 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 53c | 603.77$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.77 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Over | 54c | 569.24$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.85 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 53c | 547$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.09 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 445.26$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.26 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Under | 49c | 408.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 51c | 403.56$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.75 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Over | 52c | 384.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 345.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.26 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 52c | 338$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 52c | 326.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 78c | 325$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Under | 48c | 178.31$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.59 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 48c | 159$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 45c | 144.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 48c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 109.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 52c | 100.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 53c | 94.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…cfffbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Over | 53c | 93.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 69.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 39c | 65.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 54c | 41.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Under | 49c | 41.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…ee51backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 52c | 33.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…8e54backed Over | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 53c | 31.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 53c | 29.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Under | 48c | 26.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 48c | 20.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5this page
- Rangers vs. KingsKings won
- Rangers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.