NHL · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaa8d35b0cc02759bb0eca684556359a9ea0123a9387faa686674204d4ed71e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Kings, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rangers | 59c | 1,865$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.12 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Rangers | 61c | 1,650$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.26 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Kings | 40c | 1,283$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.14 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings | 39c | 891.52$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.69 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 40c | 834.98$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.51 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Kings | 40c | 741$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Rangers | 61c | 721.31$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.31 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…854cbacked Rangers | 59c | 507.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Kings | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Rangers | 21c | 249.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.14 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Kings | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Rangers | 52c | 190.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…0c80backed Kings | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Rangers | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Kings | 16c | 157.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +14.5wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 38c | 152.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kings | 39c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rangers | 61c | 131.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Rangers | 63c | 127.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 38c | 121.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Kings | 42c | 117.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 46c | 99.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 61c | 95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 64c | 85.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Rangers | 61c | 83.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 63c | 67.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Kings | 40c | 61.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Rangers | 33c | 58.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kings | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Kings | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Kings | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Kings | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Kings | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Rangers | 74c | 40.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kings | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 41c | 37.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Kings | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Rangers | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Kings | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Rangers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Kings | 67c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Rangers | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked Rangers | 66c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kings | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kings | 40c | 27.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 57c | 27.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rangers | 60c | 24.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Kings | 64c | 18.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)this page
- Rangers vs. KingsKings won
- Rangers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.