Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Cal State Fullerton Titans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x491808d7a0c7984795ae6633b7b6301f219d1246f3a666888f60f4a2dc415533
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cal Poly Mustangsof Cal Poly Mustangs, Cal State Fullerton Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 14c | 7,687$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.73 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 52c | 5,323$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.59 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 48c | 5,239$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.12 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…959ebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 62c | 2,567$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 47c | 2,333$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 55c | 2,131$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.17 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 47c | 1,850$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 53c | 1,810$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.02 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 63c | 1,359$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.43 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 46c | 1,274$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.11 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 50c | 1,202$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.77 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 50c | 1,174$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…10fdbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 3c | 1,155$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 45c | 799.82$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.03 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 49c | 681.22$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 3c | 524.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 24c | 437.9$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466a…e176backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 49c | 433$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…c36bbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 49c | 430$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…42f8backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 49c | 425$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…4ffabacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 52c | 415$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…e3b1backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 52c | 415$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc083…449abacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 52c | 410$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 47c | 206.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…4fd5backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 5c | 198.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 77c | 166.19$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdc…f633backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 7c | 156.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 51c | 144$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 51c | 141$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 30c | 132.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 19c | 131.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 51c | 122$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 60c | 106.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…cdffbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 16c | 99.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 20c | 78.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 49c | 68.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -13.8wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 51c | 58.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…f7adbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 45c | 50.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…3aa8backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…b07dbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 44c | 47.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 50c | 47.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 45c | 44.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…639ebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 54c | 35.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e13…8bfebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 46c | 35.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 64c | 31.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…a9d9backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 48c | 31.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…ca45backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…be96backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 45c | 27.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf739…8167backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 55c | 27.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 49c | 27.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 56c | 26.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…6ea7backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 49c | 24.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.