Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 156.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f57194e58955eb2c103bd7f8458f4313708c14b5f8d25c120a40ba05eece06a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $376,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $377,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Under | 55c | 347,519$191,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191,830.76 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 45c | 200,000$89,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 44c | 81,082$35,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,417 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 38,661$18,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,567.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Over | 47c | 9,500$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000.14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 5,122$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.13 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.9 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 3,943$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.9 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed Over | 46c | 3,820$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 43c | 1,262$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.08 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Over | 50c | 938.42$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.21 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Over | 45c | 916$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.8 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 45c | 840$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.3 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…780bbacked Over | 46c | 501.37$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.11 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 46c | 391.3$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.3 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Over | 46c | 369.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.78 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 46c | 153$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Under | 53c | 84.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 46c | 74.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 54c | 55.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 47c | 50.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 47c | 50.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Over | 46c | 43.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…c7dfbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…5dfabacked Over | 50c | 28.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 156.5this page
- South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas Razorbacks won
- South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 157.5Over won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.