Fifa International · resolved market
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe66841ecf0b3d17c530962d442658040e02a24f64c4dd0798473857e71c10ad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 46c | 5,104$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.58 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 48c | 3,558$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.4 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 54c | 3,514$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.18 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 51c | 3,294$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.62 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 54c | 3,115$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.83 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed No | 47c | 2,533$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.26 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…8819backed No | 45c | 2,199$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.33 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 53c | 2,174$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.87 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 49c | 1,310$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.88 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 52c | 1,207$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.47 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 48c | 1,200$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.39 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 51c | 1,189$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.7 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 46c | 1,168$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.62 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed Yes | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed Yes | 54c | 1,020$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.55 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…1d3abacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.58 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…a0b9backed Yes | 55c | 971.35$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc19…c313backed Yes | 55c | 899.99$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.99 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd7…ac41backed No | 47c | 893.95$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 56c | 842.41$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.15 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 44c | 777.29$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.2 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…823bbacked No | 58c | 776.99$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.33 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 49c | 667.95$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.28 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked No | 47c | 639$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.18 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 55c | 597.33$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.29 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 54c | 591.99$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.98 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed No | 45c | 549.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.99 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 40c | 475.09$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.54 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…2d67backed Yes | 56c | 466.89$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 45c | 460.15$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.13 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +7.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1583…bddebacked Yes | 53c | 442.43$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 6c | 422.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 44c | 415.35$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes | 52c | 392.32$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 11c | 365.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 53c | 330.56$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.19 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 49c | 323.84$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.04 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c5…4dd9backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 46c | 247.8$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.81 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 54c | 229$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…bf88backed Yes | 48c | 220.14$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 193 | 32.6%63 W · 130 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 66c | 220$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 48c | 214.23$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.4 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 49c | 213$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.91 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 59c | 206.41$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.63 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 34c | 199.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 197$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 55c | 180.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 173.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3767…5e7cbacked Yes | 49c | 169.79$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 52c | 167$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 55c | 166.11$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 163 | 33.7%55 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 54c | 163.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 53c | 159.47$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…de7fbacked No | 63c | 158.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 44c | 158.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.52 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c06…6a2fbacked Yes | 55c | 153.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 46c | 146$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 55c | 143.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8635…003ebacked Yes | 11c | 131.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 47c | 131$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 58c | 129$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed No | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…f570backed Yes | 46c | 115$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -10.9wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…9cefbacked Yes | 57c | 112.82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 112$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 60c | 110.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 48c | 107.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 54c | 104$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 51c | 103.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…f720backed Yes | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 57c | 101$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…9949backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…be6fbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc9…3a13backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3723…ca17backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 96.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 45c | 86.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…df67backed Yes | 52c | 83.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…2317backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 28c | 79.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 51c | 78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 48c | 69.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10d…8f16backed No | 48c | 68.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 47c | 66.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 45c | 63.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…ffcbbacked Yes | 54c | 61.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…5501backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 47c | 52.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bd…8373backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Germany be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Germany be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Germany be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Germany be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.