Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pepperdine Waves vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14ae0c3de3334b10ab454d1738a9e856193e2a0a1cbe0cbd3675598db727b2c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 51c | 25,013$12,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,756.85 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 7,579$3,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,876.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Under | 52c | 6,500$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 760$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.6 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Under | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Under | 49c | 522.45$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.45 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 52c | 218.83$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.79 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 53c | 189.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 184.81$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Under | 49c | 118.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Over | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 49c | 59.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Under | 49c | 50.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 40.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 38.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pepperdine Waves vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 149.5this page
- Pepperdine Waves vs. Gonzaga BulldogsGonzaga Bulldogs won
- Pepperdine Waves vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.