Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aa738b2ba8faa9c66ef1fb136807e6abb7379d944676b2119d5139ff5ddf72f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navy Midshipmenof Navy Midshipmen, Holy Cross Crusaders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Navy Midshipmen | 53c | 31,654$16,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,878.97 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 14,500$6,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,815 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 4,341$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.27 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 2,240$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.66 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 1,580$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.6 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 1,240$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.52 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…867fbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 405$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Navy Midshipmen | 53c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 49c | 24.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Navy Midshipmen | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-5.5)this page
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Holy Cross CrusadersNavy Midshipmen won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Holy Cross Crusaders: O/U 136.5Under won
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-4.5)Navy Midshipmen won
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-6.5)Navy Midshipmen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.