Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3a19c78c4cf8b13a749ba88888b88dfcd3f7042b6a8712db181fa2283c7009e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah State Aggiesof Utah State Aggies, Wyoming Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 51c | 193,347$98,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,607.21 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Utah State Aggies | 49c | 125,094$61,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,798.01 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Utah State Aggies | 49c | 23,802$11,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,139.15 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Utah State Aggies | 49c | 10,314$5,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,263.4 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Utah State Aggies | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Utah State Aggies | 49c | 5,961$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.11 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Utah State Aggies | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Utah State Aggies | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Utah State Aggies | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Utah State Aggies | 49c | 2,294$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.94 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Utah State Aggies | 49c | 2,210$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.1 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Utah State Aggies | 49c | 1,331$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.63 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Utah State Aggies | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.36 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Utah State Aggies | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah State Aggies | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Utah State Aggies | 49c | 606.29$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.21 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Utah State Aggies | 49c | 574$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.74 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Utah State Aggies | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Utah State Aggies | 49c | 346.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Utah State Aggies | 49c | 336$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.36 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Utah State Aggies | 49c | 305.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.65 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Wyoming Cowboys | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Utah State Aggies | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Utah State Aggies | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah State Aggies | 49c | 202.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.05 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Utah State Aggies | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Utah State Aggies | 49c | 141.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Utah State Aggies | 49c | 59.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Utah State Aggies | 52c | 56.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Utah State Aggies | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Utah State Aggies | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Utah State Aggies | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Utah State Aggies | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Utah State Aggies | 49c | 28.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Utah State Aggies | 56c | 25.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…a025backed Wyoming Cowboys | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5)this page
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Utah State AggiesUtah State Aggies won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 148.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.