CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Change The Game (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x725d6944c01fa1debdb1185255bd75c54833b16a6849990a325fc70d7b2246d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Change The Gameof Rooster, Change The Game
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Rooster | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Change The Game | 47c | 1,084$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.18 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Change The Game | 39c | 1,052$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.43 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…14c9backed Rooster | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Rooster | 7c | 900$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Rooster | 54c | 676.15$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.42 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Rooster | 50c | 600$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.3 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Rooster | 55c | 585.96$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.74 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Change The Game | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Rooster | 49c | 482.69$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.01 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rooster | 40c | 422.63$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.83 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Rooster | 32c | 415.63$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…f2dabacked Change The Game | 51c | 392.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa68f…4663backed Rooster | 36c | 350$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Rooster | 20c | 313.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…1e71backed Rooster | 5c | 311.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Rooster | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…2874backed Rooster | 68c | 296.49$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.61 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Change The Game | 77c | 245.9$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Change The Game | 66c | 234.85$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.85 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed Rooster | 5c | 201.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Rooster | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Rooster | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Rooster | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +95%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Rooster | 47c | 189.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rooster | 50c | 173.55$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Rooster | 11c | 161.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Change The Game | 45c | 152$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Change The Game | 45c | 149.79$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Rooster | 54c | 141.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Rooster | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked Rooster | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Rooster | 53c | 130.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Rooster | 58c | 125.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Change The Game | 48c | 124$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Change The Game | 49c | 106$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Change The Game | 32c | 104.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Rooster | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Rooster | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Change The Game | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Change The Game | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…cf64backed Change The Game | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d33…3701backed Change The Game | 74c | 85.71$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Change The Game | 46c | 79.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Change The Game | 46c | 77.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Rooster | 18c | 68.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Rooster | 44c | 67.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Change The Game | 47c | 63.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Change The Game | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 51cpaid | -76%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rooster | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Rooster | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Change The Game | 46c | 28.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Rooster | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Rooster | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Rooster | 52c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Rooster | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Rooster | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Rooster | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Rooster | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…8535backed Change The Game | 68c | 22.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Change The Game (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Change The Game - Map 2 WinnerChange The Game won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.