TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,128 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under55c63,640$35,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,639.656566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c27,929$12,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,563.841,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over45c16,357$7,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,352.811,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over45c8,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over48c6,942$3,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,331.953557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Over45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2501942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6402227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under76c2,541$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.764,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under54c1,819$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under57c1,758$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.7615446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over46c1,536$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.453246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Over45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001275%9 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+68.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over23c1,100$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Under55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.091216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-69%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Under55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.097241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under55c865.04$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.5255941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over24c840.21$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7610629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Under53c785.85$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.352560%15 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Over47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over43c527.51$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.832055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over45c524$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.835148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Over27c500$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1346933.3%23 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over44c456.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Over9c403$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.274456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18042458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over45c397.87$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.0431745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Over46c335.07$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1556222.6%14 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605366%35 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under52c299.98$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4911947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under76c263.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.222661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over18c255$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.364042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9969…a641backed Over39c220.93$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+100.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over45c212.51$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0923452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over24c209.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9016342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Under55c196.75$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.541060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9328446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over24c155.77$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.829946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under61c151.52$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.941,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over45c149$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.317250%36 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Under72c139.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3111056.4%62 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over42c138$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9615851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Under55c125.45$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4549447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over20c104.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.119544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over45c97.49$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8735054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under56c92.84$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8532145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1577…a02abacked Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over46c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4118650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over17c82.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2112744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd53e…db8cbacked Under54c79.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over47c75.81$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6310634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Under58c72.28$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.593638.9%14 W · 22 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-29.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38dd…ffb3backed Over45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c9…9fcbbacked Under55c65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8535…2024backed Under77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.94875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720054.5%109 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Under56c58.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.93966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+77.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Under60c57.3$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.925453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under76c55.4$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.322941.4%12 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-34%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Under55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+40%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ae2…90afbacked Under79c50.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under65c49.75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.543,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over33c47.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.855343.4%23 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x234c…b85fbacked Over47c40.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Over40c38.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.452941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.045451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Over34c34.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.474353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514738.8%57 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Under55c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411254.5%61 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under55c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.413453%71 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under54c31.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5224047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under55c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4512554.4%68 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Under55c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4512654%68 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789b…4c08backed Under77c20.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.692035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c9c…6b57backed Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6834…67a5backed Under76c14.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.432951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.