La Liga · resolved market
Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f1d134db1137331bb22c53e679194b0fe1884a4f08646c772899c2ce65b1b9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 38c | 14,853$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,253.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 10,397$7,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,092.11 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed No | 55c | 2,346$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 48c | 1,970$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 48c | 933$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.84 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 55c | 890.4$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.68 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 24c | 843$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.08 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 65c | 717$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.27 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 504.43$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.72 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba5…5f1cbacked No | 50c | 440.58$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 75c | 269.13$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.23 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2303…b9a7backed No | 51c | 185.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 47c | 183.68$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed No | 50c | 173$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…dcdbbacked Yes | 42c | 159.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 37c | 133.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 74c | 131.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 50c | 124$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked No | 52c | 114.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked No | 50c | 114$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed No | 75c | 104.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked No | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked No | 50c | 93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed No | 50c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 63c | 62.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed No | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 37c | 52.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked No | 51c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 46.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed No | 51c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Yes | 50c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 63c | 39.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Yes | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 41c | 36.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Yes | 53c | 36.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Yes | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Yes | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Yes | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Yes | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Yes | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Yes | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Yes | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed No | 76c | 29.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Yes | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Yes | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Yes | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Yes | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Yes | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…9f97backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Yes | 53c | 19.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.