Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b87533611382d10731be1b8b7b594b467842c4045f95ce077de7d36a9bbac92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 37c | 4,441$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.05 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 67c | 3,580$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.13 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 3,103$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.71 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 67c | 1,437$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.19 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 8c | 1,018$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 38c | 524.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.24 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 483.08$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 469.9$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.95 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 67c | 300.52$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 262.37$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.93 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 6c | 250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 235.56$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.58 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cc…a6f4backed Over | 67c | 230$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 210.71$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 68c | 199.65$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 68c | 198.52$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba5…5f1cbacked Under | 54c | 187.69$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bed…54f6backed Under | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 51c | 152.31$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 143.06$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Over | 67c | 141$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 46c | 119.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Under | 50c | 117.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 43c | 105.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 61c | 93.22$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Over | 67c | 91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Over | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 45c | 89.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 51c | 73.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…b4f7backed Under | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Under | 40c | 59.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 56c | 57.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -63%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 45c | 48.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Under | 33c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Over | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Under | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 55c | 36.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 35c | 31.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 65c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 68c | 24.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.