Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0068dc20aa92fce012e6b9123b2420ed125e7744c7130e4ced1b01eaef469bcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Under | 68c | 1,465$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 60c | 1,262$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.45 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 59c | 1,037$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.93 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 39c | 1,024$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.59 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 804.75$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.9 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Over | 41c | 502.37$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 276.88$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.37 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 191.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.71 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 179.32$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 39c | 166$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 61c | 156$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 41c | 139.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 64c | 135.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 38c | 120.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Under | 60c | 105$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 42c | 88.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 68c | 88.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 35c | 84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 61c | 73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 41c | 69.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 22c | 69.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1659…c4bcbacked Under | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 61c | 59.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Under | 30c | 53.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -63%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 75c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 65c | 42.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0d…5087backed Over | 35c | 39.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 68c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 40c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 26c | 37.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Over | 40c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9b…c789backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.