Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38e10b3f0f379f224a9421076a85f46b6cf9facafe5d5a27296ee9b869b70d2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 5c | 1,022$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked No | 48c | 697.3$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 562.01$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.89 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 53c | 343.57$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.48 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 51c | 259.23$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.02 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 219.14$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.64 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5694…6052backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 55c | 181$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 45c | 179.55$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 135$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 80.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 45c | 69.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115c…1e85backed Yes | 55c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed No | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 55c | 45.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 54c | 40.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Yes | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Yes | 43c | 25.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked No | 48c | 25.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 742 | 56.9%422 W · 320 L | +46.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.