Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4491ad71bc77efbf410bcd75e7f4e2264510643058231697831c81b88eabb9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Over | 79c | 2,465$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.58 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 78c | 2,300$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 1,556$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 18c | 445$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 421.44$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 23c | 399.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 22c | 362$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 23c | 299.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 33c | 241.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 78c | 235.9$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 21c | 215.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Over | 78c | 140$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 22c | 118$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 78c | 100.05$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…6455backed Under | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 78c | 73.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 26c | 62.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 78c | 61.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Over | 77c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…5e2dbacked Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 77c | 41.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 31c | 40.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 77c | 35.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd283…51ecbacked Over | 80c | 31.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…d342backed Over | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 80c | 19.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -8.4wins | -0.19per pick | 72cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Over | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.