Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Belmont Bruins vs. Northern Iowa Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7122ad6f4d194c98470e925889e560c66e3b3d9a29a4a695339ed1c19d76456b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belmont Bruinsof Belmont Bruins, Northern Iowa Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Belmont Bruins | 55c | 3,535$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.45 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 58c | 2,108$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.38 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 39c | 2,032$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.15 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Belmont Bruins | 65c | 1,569$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.81 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Belmont Bruins | 54c | 1,444$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.91 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 23c | 1,378$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.14 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 61c | 1,250$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.94 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Belmont Bruins | 70c | 1,242$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.82 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Belmont Bruins | 44c | 1,204$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.5 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 34c | 846.55$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.73 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 56c | 710.11$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.91 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Belmont Bruins | 68c | 617.73$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.86 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 59c | 586.29$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.91 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Belmont Bruins | 45c | 561.98$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.43 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Belmont Bruins | 68c | 450.99$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Belmont Bruins | 71c | 446.28$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.76 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 59c | 339.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Belmont Bruins | 42c | 313$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.54 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 49c | 289.4$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.05 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 40c | 266.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Belmont Bruins | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 34c | 232.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 23c | 209.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Belmont Bruins | 74c | 198.57$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 32c | 188.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -13.8wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 56c | 166$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Belmont Bruins | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Belmont Bruins | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Belmont Bruins | 41c | 143.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 16c | 135.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 57c | 133.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Belmont Bruins | 54c | 130.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Belmont Bruins | 42c | 119.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 60c | 104$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Belmont Bruins | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Belmont Bruins | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Belmont Bruins | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 59c | 97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 42c | 63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Belmont Bruins | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 56c | 49.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Belmont Bruins | 44c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Belmont Bruins | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Belmont Bruins | 43c | 46.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 56c | 44.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Belmont Bruins | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Belmont Bruins | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa523…d782backed Belmont Bruins | 69c | 29.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Belmont Bruins | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 57c | 27.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Belmont Bruins | 43c | 27.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Belmont Bruins | 40c | 25.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Belmont Bruins | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Belmont Bruins | 61c | 18.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Belmont Bruins | 76c | 14.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Belmont Bruins | 72c | 13.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belmont Bruins vs. Northern Iowa Panthersthis page
- Belmont Bruins vs. Northern Iowa Panthers: O/U 135.5Over won
- Belmont Bruins vs. Northern Iowa Panthers: O/U 136.5Over won
- Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-2.5)Belmont Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.