Bundesliga · resolved market
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeba0309216e69b8b8213a6c07ce1dc055241bc2bcc00e0f9103c5c638f79fff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 59,560$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004.05 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 60c | 52,109$31,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,848.9 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 60c | 16,700$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 40c | 14,196$5,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,678.47 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Under | 59c | 9,774$5,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 40c | 6,362$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.1 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 59c | 5,485$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.62 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Over | 40c | 3,687$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 57c | 2,099$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.51 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 41c | 1,492$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.21 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 41c | 1,219$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 54c | 1,108$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.1 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Under | 58c | 831.22$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 40c | 797.35$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.53 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 45c | 762.22$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.88 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Under | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 43c | 689.65$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.55 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 43c | 604.65$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 8c | 591.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 41c | 540$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 57c | 443.95$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.9 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 40c | 420$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 40c | 420$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 40c | 420$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over | 41c | 339.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 40c | 330$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 40c | 330$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Over | 40c | 287.37$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 40c | 220$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 40c | 197.76$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 40c | 190$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 40c | 180$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 40c | 180$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 40c | 160$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…4cbebacked Under | 60c | 159.17$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1c…dc61backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 41c | 141$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 43c | 137.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 30c | 132.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Over | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x553e…5526backed Over | 45c | 119.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b87…75d0backed Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 43c | 97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 58c | 90.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 58c | 86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 77c | 79.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5this page
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Under won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Under won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.