TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Little Rock: Colton Smith vs Michael Mmoh

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colton Smithof Colton Smith, Michael Mmoh
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,806 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde9f…d43cbacked Colton Smith70c5,027$3,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.926,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Michael Mmoh26c3,244$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.384,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Michael Mmoh30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Michael Mmoh57c2,456$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40060053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Michael Mmoh14c2,272$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.5211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Colton Smith70c1,571$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.311,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Michael Mmoh17c1,490$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.365,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Michael Mmoh22c1,402$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.4971725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Michael Mmoh45c1,226$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55094068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Michael Mmoh44c1,121$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.11,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a89…df4bbacked Michael Mmoh50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55014657.5%84 W · 62 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbdcd…0fe6backed Michael Mmoh49c958.55$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.691464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked Michael Mmoh48c952.94$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.414143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Michael Mmoh28c942$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.764,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Michael Mmoh44c916.9$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.441,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Colton Smith51c896.2$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.1416552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Colton Smith73c803.11$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.466,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Michael Mmoh45c799.99$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.9958745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Michael Mmoh32c784.65$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.038,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Michael Mmoh4c762.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.643208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1782…2928backed Michael Mmoh42c687.31$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6710834.3%37 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Colton Smith50c591.09$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.554,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Colton Smith79c546.66$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.72,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Michael Mmoh3c540.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.816048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Colton Smith56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Colton Smith50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25065434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Michael Mmoh3c488.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.651,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Colton Smith57c408.77$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.7745256.2%254 W · 198 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Michael Mmoh6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2415225%38 W · 114 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d9c…cf78backed Michael Mmoh5c396.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.511131.5%35 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Michael Mmoh6c382$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9256827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Colton Smith51c371$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.7973748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Michael Mmoh45c367.65$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.442,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Colton Smith55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.649556.8%54 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Colton Smith56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1423159.3%137 W · 94 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Michael Mmoh7c353.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Michael Mmoh45c339.98$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.996541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Colton Smith65c323.83$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8325556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Colton Smith68c287.26$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.244,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Michael Mmoh17c276.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4713928.1%39 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c6e…542dbacked Colton Smith58c267.24$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2419756.3%111 W · 86 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1575…3d32backed Michael Mmoh37c263.18$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987065.7%46 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Michael Mmoh45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Colton Smith56c244$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.362,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Michael Mmoh14c241.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.676,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Michael Mmoh45c222.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Colton Smith54c206.26$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8865942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Colton Smith50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10087854.7%480 W · 398 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Michael Mmoh50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Colton Smith50c196$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9818850%94 W · 94 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Colton Smith53c185.48$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.557842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Colton Smith56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.225257.9%146 W · 106 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Michael Mmoh34c180$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.292138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Colton Smith71c169.29$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.91,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Colton Smith75c159.51$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2816354%88 W · 75 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Michael Mmoh47c138.23$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4785637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Michael Mmoh20c138$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2434847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1aa…9359backed Michael Mmoh17c121.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6520535.1%72 W · 133 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Colton Smith75c120.31$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4320259.4%120 W · 82 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Michael Mmoh11c107.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1243618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3a2…8ff7backed Michael Mmoh46c103.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4739443.9%173 W · 221 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Michael Mmoh45c102.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.153,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x831f…cc50backed Colton Smith56c101.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8721841.3%90 W · 128 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Michael Mmoh15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513444%59 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Colton Smith50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f24…e803backed Michael Mmoh45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511255.4%62 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Michael Mmoh29c88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.525,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Michael Mmoh47c87.65$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.215060%90 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Colton Smith54c81.48$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4881457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe232…6ceabacked Michael Mmoh25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207833.3%26 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c26…c2d0backed Colton Smith55c71.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1412462.1%77 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Colton Smith54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.244442.3%188 W · 256 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd420…01fcbacked Colton Smith62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5213158%76 W · 55 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ea5…6c53backed Colton Smith55c63.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5521848.2%105 W · 113 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79d0…4dffbacked Michael Mmoh28c60.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1731220.5%64 W · 248 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Michael Mmoh45c59.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2747854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94b7…297bbacked Colton Smith49c55.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.554148.8%20 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Colton Smith57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6330860.1%185 W · 123 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Michael Mmoh46c51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4659954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Colton Smith54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2315248%73 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b09…aca6backed Michael Mmoh46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Colton Smith74c45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.491,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Colton Smith74c44.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.62,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad3…f5d0backed Colton Smith56c44.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.571428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-48.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Colton Smith49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8294058.4%549 W · 391 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Michael Mmoh44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.61,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed Colton Smith63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6843358.4%253 W · 180 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Colton Smith52c39.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9120942.6%89 W · 120 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Colton Smith51c38.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9545751%233 W · 224 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a90…03b5backed Colton Smith53c38.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.97520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Colton Smith51c37.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4775262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Michael Mmoh44c37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2837158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Colton Smith56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.717262.5%45 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8b…b8cbbacked Michael Mmoh45c35.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Colton Smith55c34.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7544949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2108…ce01backed Michael Mmoh46c32.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.851118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.34per pick52cpaid-65.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Colton Smith78c30.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.622,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f65…38bfbacked Colton Smith45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.513466.4%89 W · 45 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Michael Mmoh39c29.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6883047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Michael Mmoh46c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.421,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.