Fifa International · resolved market
Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb586f9a551420043810964f558fbb1646708baaf9a60e0addf32622a870fe25b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 2,534$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.23 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2053…1eedbacked Over | 32c | 1,758$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.39 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 65c | 929.62$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.05 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 34c | 764.58$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.93 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Under | 64c | 749.82$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.44 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Under | 44c | 720$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.2 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…0f8fbacked Over | 49c | 600$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 71c | 599.99$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.11 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 49c | 499.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 68c | 454$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.91 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 67c | 392$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked Over | 29c | 375.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Over | 56c | 359.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 59c | 349.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 66c | 299.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 56c | 292.85$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 52c | 246.72$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.63 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 42c | 239.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 51c | 208.13$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1575…3d32backed Over | 56c | 167.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 52c | 153.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 63c | 146.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 54c | 130.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 52c | 125.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 66c | 125.3$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…ade6backed Over | 56c | 118.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 45c | 113.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 55c | 99.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 42c | 90.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 63c | 87.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 50c | 78.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 30c | 77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 52c | 76.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 53c | 75.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Under | 49c | 70.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 68.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 42c | 66.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 67c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 327 | 40.7%133 W · 194 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 75c | 48.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Under | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…c03dbacked Under | 50c | 43.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Over | 47c | 42.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 53c | 40.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 46c | 39.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 53c | 37.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 50c | 34.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 333 | 45.3%151 W · 182 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 39c | 27.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Under | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 52c | 24.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…eff6backed Over | 54c | 22.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 60c | 21.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5this page
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 0.5Over won
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5Over won
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5Over won
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 4.5Under won
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Russia (-1.5)Russia won
- Spread: Russia (-2.5)Russia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.