TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,838 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c2,534$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.234,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Over32c1,758$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.399324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over27c1,200$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32445421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under65c929.62$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.054,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over34c764.58$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.933,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Under64c749.82$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.449454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Under44c720$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.28847.7%42 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf070…0f8fbacked Over49c600$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under71c599.99$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1122041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over49c499.99$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24422639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under68c454$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.913,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under67c392$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3659752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8136…772cbacked Over29c375.86$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1094057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over56c359.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.67949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under59c349.99$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14417255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under66c299.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6729154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over56c292.85$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16425455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under52c246.72$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.634,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over42c239.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over51c208.13$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.48334.9%29 W · 54 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1575…3d32backed Over56c167.86$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over52c153.1$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.562839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over63c146.03$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9238439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over54c130.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7019746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over52c125.51$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2685550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under66c125.3$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.62,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2666…ade6backed Over56c118.73$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.496346%29 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under45c113.33$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3321240.6%86 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over55c99.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under42c90.43$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5937458.8%220 W · 154 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under63c87.65$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.732,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over50c78.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4958049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over30c77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.12,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Over52c76.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029463.3%186 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Over53c75.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0624840.3%100 W · 148 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under49c70.04$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5722450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under62c68.18$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0993542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over42c66.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2828240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under67c65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.451,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Over34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under50c56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2832740.7%133 W · 194 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.527028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under75c48.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0763151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d70…d0a6backed Under44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.453844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Under58c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7111238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb90…c03dbacked Under50c43.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.934944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Over47c42.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over53c40.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.69456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under46c39.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.590840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over53c37.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1315059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over50c34.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2822951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1833345.3%151 W · 182 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over39c27.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8446562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Under73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.293636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over52c24.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.491,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a28…eff6backed Over54c22.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212050.8%61 W · 59 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under60c21.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.532,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.