Fifa International · resolved market
Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aa424cab2b3b434d62555bb609eb0cbc1236fcf1275f8530ea706bf88171c26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 16c | 1,107$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.22 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 53c | 939.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.47 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Over | 52c | 780$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 512.83$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.24 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Under | 50c | 466.97$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 42c | 428.24$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.38 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 424.17$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.12 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…b090backed Under | 54c | 332.09$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.43 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 52c | 217.35$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.24 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 53c | 190.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 54c | 186.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Over | 50c | 186$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e80…416dbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 50c | 135$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 52c | 113.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bf…e5d8backed Under | 36c | 110.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 51c | 82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 66c | 74.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e26…ecc5backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 31c | 54.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 54.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 47c | 49.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 75c | 48.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Under | 56c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 41.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Over | 48c | 40.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 37.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 55c | 36.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Over | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…eff6backed Over | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5this page
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 0.5Over won
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5Over won
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5Under won
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 4.5Under won
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Russia (-1.5)Russia won
- Spread: Russia (-2.5)Russia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.