Fifa International · resolved market
Russia vs. Burkina Faso: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92837eb2f01801a22892fad7642cdf5abd899449c758ef2bba06b79bd06a9432
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 1,258$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.56 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 59c | 847.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 573.11$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.73 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 6c | 299$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf5…6db3backed No | 68c | 291.17$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.73 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…f0d8backed No | 66c | 263.64$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa706…4b9ebacked No | 73c | 217$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Yes | 44c | 124.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…b000backed Yes | 33c | 89.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed No | 54c | 74.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 45c | 74.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 54c | 37.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…09b8backed No | 70c | 21.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5a…edf2backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 0.5Over won
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5Over won
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5Over won
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5Under won
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 4.5Under won
- Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Russia (-1.5)Russia won
- Spread: Russia (-2.5)Russia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.