Other European Leagues · resolved market
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. AZ: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d64329a4f861ccd29396de22746e541dd88bc2ee5f9258a0fd30388026af534
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 38c | 3,018$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.32 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Over | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 2,344$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.4 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 1,057$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 42c | 689.02$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1575…3d32backed Over | 51c | 683.61$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 49c | 571.43$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 568.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.26 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 40c | 407.11$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.91 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 382$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…4ce4backed Under | 48c | 325.04$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 37c | 299.89$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.93 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 218.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.22 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 209$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.87 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 37c | 158.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 35c | 148.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 74c | 125$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 49c | 108$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 64c | 57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 63c | 47.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Over | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Over | 63c | 26.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 67c | 24.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…ab5fbacked Over | 70c | 21.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 87 | 82.8%72 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. AZ: O/U 2.5this page
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. AZ: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. AZ: O/U 1.5Over won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. AZ: O/U 3.5Under won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. AZ: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AZ (-1.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam won
- Spread: AZ (-2.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)AZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.