Other European Leagues · resolved market
Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x896d19ed13e1bfe4c2cb3203cf5f08fdc4fb72c27e6e1b72052bc4b44bd0a21f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 44c | 2,684$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.51 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 2,669$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.67 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…bd99backed Over | 56c | 2,051$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 79c | 1,244$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.63 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 13c | 1,003$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.9 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 14c | 928.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.57 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 818.06$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.15 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 61c | 808.28$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.05 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 41c | 711.17$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.28 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 71c | 691.97$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.67 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 55c | 650$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 628.98$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.35 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over | 77c | 574.89$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 500.26$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.73 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 38c | 440.9$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.29 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 22c | 428.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 427.29$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.93 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Over | 46c | 398.11$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 37c | 350.71$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 14c | 350.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.42 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 36c | 312.41$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.47 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…26f7backed Over | 14c | 275.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 62c | 244.26$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.77 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 52c | 240.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.31 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 41c | 238.14$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 15c | 215$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.75 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 36c | 214.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Over | 50c | 194.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 15c | 181.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.69 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…7eeabacked Under | 78c | 181.42$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 23c | 165.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.73 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Over | 52c | 161.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Over | 47c | 144.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 13c | 143.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…ad77backed Over | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 13c | 138.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.34 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 15c | 137.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 52c | 123.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1da…23a3backed Under | 15c | 122.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over | 45c | 121.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 42c | 121.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…c131backed Over | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 16c | 106.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 61c | 81.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…8bacbacked Under | 16c | 78.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +205.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 65.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfb…b96cbacked Over | 61c | 60.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…13d5backed Over | 66c | 59.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Under | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 49c | 52.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 67c | 39.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 46c | 35.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over | 44c | 27.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 78c | 24.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…fbebbacked Over | 60c | 23.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…729cbacked Over | 59c | 20.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81aa…487abacked Over | 62c | 20.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x987d…dc15backed Over | 73c | 18.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: O/U 1.5this page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: O/U 2.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: O/U 3.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AZ (-1.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
- Spread: AZ (-2.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
- Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-1.5)AZ won
- Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-2.5)AZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.