Other European Leagues · resolved market
Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec3b1fee8aa3c814f174fe3664c12a51d351ec4f2e4da7cda4d3d75294790029
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 9c | 1,733$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.61 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Over | 24c | 566.17$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.58 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 25c | 548.24$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.53 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…61cbbacked Under | 80c | 370.5$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 76c | 336.03$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 5c | 299$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 77c | 254.54$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 10c | 246.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 22c | 223.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 79c | 95.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 25c | 57.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 72c | 46.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 78c | 31.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 78c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: O/U 4.5this page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: O/U 1.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: O/U 2.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: AZ (-1.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
- Spread: AZ (-2.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
- Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-1.5)AZ won
- Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-2.5)AZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.