Other European Leagues · resolved market
Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6f188b020be7cd02cd5a85e0cf683f590b905e938e0d9fa6a58b8cc89060329
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 1c | 4,022$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 47c | 3,062$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.69 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Under | 54c | 2,023$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Under | 54c | 1,374$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.17 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 47c | 1,210$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.54 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 14c | 1,204$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.71 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 15c | 1,038$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.32 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 43c | 561.51$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 52c | 534.05$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.34 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 45c | 440.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 59c | 270.5$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.98 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Over | 6c | 248.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 55c | 183$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 57c | 152.04$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 46c | 96.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 95.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 43c | 66.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 39c | 65.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 44c | 63.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 61.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 59c | 49.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 28c | 45.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…655bbacked Under | 59c | 40.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f8…36d1backed Over | 43c | 38.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 54c | 34.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed Under | 60c | 34.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…81c5backed Over | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 53c | 27.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 59c | 25.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: O/U 3.5this page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: O/U 1.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: O/U 2.5Under won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AZ (-1.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
- Spread: AZ (-2.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
- Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-1.5)AZ won
- Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-2.5)AZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.