CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62d84e62b1b833961029990207ec4141b980385a3564991d9e624308f8a0e65f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof illwill, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked illwill | 54c | 9,524$5,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,132.09 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed illwill | 1c | 4,200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked G2 Ares | 31c | 3,103$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.56 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed illwill | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed G2 Ares | 31c | 1,643$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.13 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf6…2d98backed G2 Ares | 31c | 1,643$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.75 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked illwill | 1c | 1,504$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed illwill | 3c | 1,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed illwill | 54c | 1,074$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.1 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked illwill | 56c | 854.34$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.87 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed G2 Ares | 45c | 809.33$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.15 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed illwill | 66c | 759.99$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.59 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked illwill | 31c | 673.24$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.77 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked illwill | 62c | 625.41$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.75 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed illwill | 49c | 591.56$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.08 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked G2 Ares | 34c | 589.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.12 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed G2 Ares | 38c | 547.5$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.45 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed G2 Ares | 24c | 541.69$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.36 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked illwill | 39c | 530.97$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.63 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed illwill | 60c | 517.54$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.52 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed illwill | 66c | 499.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.98 | 458 | 59%270 W · 188 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed illwill | 12c | 472$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed illwill | 67c | 470.67$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.17 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked illwill | 50c | 470.09$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.48 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked illwill | 11c | 438.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed illwill | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked illwill | 66c | 394.9$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.38 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked illwill | 48c | 384.52$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed illwill | 33c | 348.57$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked G2 Ares | 47c | 332.07$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.62 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed illwill | 33c | 322.05$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed G2 Ares | 31c | 307.1$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.9 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed illwill | 25c | 291.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed G2 Ares | 30c | 278.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.94 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed G2 Ares | 52c | 260$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked illwill | 61c | 250.78$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 235 | 37.9%89 W · 146 L | -16.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked illwill | 59c | 249.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked illwill | 39c | 239.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked illwill | 59c | 217.35$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.52 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked illwill | 30c | 202.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed G2 Ares | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…86c8backed G2 Ares | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked illwill | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed illwill | 40c | 193.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed G2 Ares | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed G2 Ares | 41c | 176.73$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 624 | 48.2%301 W · 323 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed G2 Ares | 44c | 165.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed illwill | 64c | 158.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.34 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked illwill | 53c | 153.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked G2 Ares | 39c | 152.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed G2 Ares | 30c | 144.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed illwill | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed illwill | 47c | 138.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed G2 Ares | 43c | 137.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.47 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3812…e4b0backed illwill | 37c | 136.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed illwill | 48c | 131.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed illwill | 44c | 127$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed G2 Ares | 36c | 126.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…0539backed G2 Ares | 18c | 124.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked illwill | 41c | 116.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…3b20backed illwill | 50c | 106.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed G2 Ares | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…c32abacked illwill | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8885…7712backed illwill | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed G2 Ares | 38c | 97.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed G2 Ares | 41c | 91.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed illwill | 40c | 91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed G2 Ares | 30c | 90.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed illwill | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked illwill | 44c | 88.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed illwill | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed illwill | 71c | 64.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked illwill | 69c | 62.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed illwill | 54c | 60.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed G2 Ares | 39c | 54.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked G2 Ares | 68c | 53.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked illwill | 67c | 51.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked G2 Ares | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked illwill | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed illwill | 60c | 43.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe91e…9ea8backed G2 Ares | 60c | 41.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked illwill | 44c | 40.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…fc3bbacked G2 Ares | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7e…9546backed illwill | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed illwill | 31c | 33.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed illwill | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed illwill | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked G2 Ares | 68c | 29.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed illwill | 60c | 22.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f8…22abbacked illwill | 69c | 19.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed illwill | 62c | 18.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill | 69c | 16.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked illwill | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,278 | 71.5%914 W · 364 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group StageG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winnerillwill won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ILWL (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)G2 Ares won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.