Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dab3a056a4823af5822648f317f272de265e14d515458d81e9743661f52ccc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 35c | 2,426$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.46 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 42c | 2,357$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.87 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…b0aebacked No | 3c | 1,200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 99 | 9.1%9 W · 90 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 54c | 1,178$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.92 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 35c | 1,139$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.34 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 50c | 935.72$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.83 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 36c | 875.63$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.6 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 63c | 805.79$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.13 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 34c | 711.71$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 74c | 602.38$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.76 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…40cdbacked No | 61c | 539.3$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.97 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 55c | 456.16$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.27 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 58c | 450.32$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.63 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 46c | 442$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.03 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 43c | 428.54$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.44 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 61c | 423$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.06 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 46c | 421.23$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.86 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 45c | 419.57$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.88 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 78c | 419.17$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 32c | 383.77$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 49c | 374.74$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.19 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…4af0backed Yes | 36c | 361.48$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.81 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 61c | 348.69$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.24 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…07dfbacked Yes | 48c | 346.13$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.9 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 38c | 328.44$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 62c | 324.31$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.57 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.63 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…eb96backed No | 58c | 275.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.03 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 76c | 275.7$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…06d8backed Yes | 37c | 266.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.69 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 37c | 266.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 40c | 260.58$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 67c | 259$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.37 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 57c | 257.53$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 36c | 257.52$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 42c | 257$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.46 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 64c | 245$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 39c | 243.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 61c | 224.59$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.89 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 61c | 218$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.8 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 68c | 215.55$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.55 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 30c | 214.43$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.19 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 24c | 213.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.54 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…6882backed No | 62c | 203.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 44c | 203.32$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 35c | 202.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.78 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9612…205abacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…81b2backed Yes | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39c…60ccbacked No | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 32c | 198.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 35c | 193.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 65c | 188.89$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.42 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 59c | 183.68$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f88…cdcbbacked Yes | 66c | 181.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…265cbacked Yes | 41c | 173.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 48c | 172.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 64c | 172.93$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 40c | 171.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 35c | 168$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.17 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 63c | 159.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 59c | 155.88$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 151.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…ef50backed Yes | 46c | 147.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 23c | 141.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 23c | 140$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ac…fce6backed No | 7c | 137.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 26c | 137.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 35c | 135.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.39 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 62c | 132.44$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 44c | 129.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 56c | 124$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 38c | 118.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 65c | 117.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 58c | 116.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 32c | 115.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 61c | 114.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 44c | 112.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…680abacked Yes | 74c | 112.82$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…28a3backed No | 62c | 112.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 41c | 107.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 29c | 105.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.63 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 69c | 102.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…052abacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb73…155fbacked Yes | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 99.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0948backed Yes | 51c | 98.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…b8febacked No | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 286 | 66.8%191 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…c6ccbacked No | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…879dbacked Yes | 43c | 93.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 63c | 89.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…40aebacked Yes | 39c | 88.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed No | 75c | 88.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 384 | 54.9%211 W · 173 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 29c | 86.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 58c | 86.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…f218backed Yes | 37c | 85.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…467cbacked No | 24c | 84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 40c | 82.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.