Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: DRG (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0352b6e308506d89b4ef51f6de26f16350fd0abed25c49f452a0bbb21433973
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolves Esportsof Dragon Ranger Gaming, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Wolves Esports | 61c | 1,017$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.48 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…3543backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 38c | 452.26$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Wolves Esports | 62c | 254.84$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 39c | 251.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…052abacked Wolves Esports | 60c | 167.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 40c | 167.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Wolves Esports | 58c | 151.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 38c | 127$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 39c | 94.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Wolves Esports | 60c | 79.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Wolves Esports | 62c | 65.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 38c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 43c | 46.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Wolves Esports | 65c | 46.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 35c | 41.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Wolves Esports | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Wolves Esports | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: DRG (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Dragon Ranger Gaming (-2.5) vs Wolves Esports (+2.5)Dragon Ranger Gaming won
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaWolves Esports won
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 WinnerWolves Esports won
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 WinnerDragon Ranger Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.