Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6af0e25b41e5b24de2ec5932d990a85910639f586c660826c743359c0afd24b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 58c | 1,943$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.39 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 56c | 1,495$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.35 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 1,197$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.24 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 59c | 1,123$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.41 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 42c | 787$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.46 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 40c | 652.78$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.43 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 43c | 565.5$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.3 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 52c | 379.61$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 40c | 370.26$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.06 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 48c | 319.7$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.73 | 343 | 51.3%176 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 54c | 312.57$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.79 | 637 | 51.2%326 W · 311 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 178 | 32.6%58 W · 120 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36a2…c02bbacked Under | 45c | 152.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 39c | 141.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 42c | 128.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 655 | 44.1%289 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 49c | 125.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 383 | 44.6%171 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 43c | 83.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…88a1backed Over | 35c | 81.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 38c | 70.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 360 | 44.7%161 W · 199 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 58c | 70.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 42c | 63.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 278 | 56.5%157 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Over | 42c | 61.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 52c | 58.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Over | 42c | 48.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 60c | 44.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Under | 60c | 33.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 139 | 63.3%88 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 609 | 43.2%263 W · 346 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Over | 42c | 25.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 213 | 54.9%117 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KRX.C (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (+1.5)HANJIN BRION Challengers won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial GroupKiwoom DRX Challengers won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 WinnerKiwoom DRX Challengers won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.